Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.99
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Gamba Osaka travel to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima in the J1 League on Saturday 14 March (07:00 WAT) to face Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Johor Darul Takzim FC 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Ratchaburi 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gamba Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.0 for Gamba Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.80
Gamba Osaka16%fair 6.27 · @4.80
3.11Expected goals
2.12Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.99Gamba Osaka xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.1 – 1.0 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
10%
9.99
–
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WLLWDD
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
17 Feb
@ FC Seoul
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 5
DWDWW
11 Mar
@ Ratchaburi
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Ratchaburi
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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