Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.79
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees FC Tokyo take on Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for FC Tokyo and 1.6 for Kashiwa Reysol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 39%, draw 24%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo39%fair 2.55 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol37%fair 2.72 · @2.60
3.23Expected goals
1.64FC Tokyo xG
1.58Kashiwa Reysol xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.6 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
39%
2.55
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
FC Tokyo – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashiwa Reysol 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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