Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Gamba Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗65% · @1.90
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse preview and prediction
The match
Gamba Osaka host Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Gamba Osaka are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Shimizu S-pulse sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Gamba Osaka and 0.6 for Shimizu S-pulse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Gamba Osaka to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gamba Osaka or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gamba Osaka65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Shimizu S-pulse14%fair 7.29 · @3.80
2.23Expected goals
1.66Gamba Osaka xG
0.57Shimizu S-pulse xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.7 – 0.6 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Gamba Osaka – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
19 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shimizu S-pulse 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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