Value bet: Tokyo Verdy to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokyo Verdy to win ✗38% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Yokohama F. Marinos take on Tokyo Verdy on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at Nissan Stadium. Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.4 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yokohama F. Marinos 36%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Tokyo Verdy to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yokohama F. Marinos36%fair 2.75 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Tokyo Verdy38%fair 2.63 · @3.20
2.75Expected goals
1.36Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.40Tokyo Verdy xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.4 – 1.4 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokyo Verdy to win✗
38%
2.63
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokyo Verdy / FT Tokyo Verdy✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Kashima
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tokyo Verdy 38%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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