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Paulista A4 · Brazil

Grêmio Sãocarlense

WDLW
4–1
FT

São Caetano

WWWD

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2

Value bet: São Caetano to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSão Caetano to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano preview and prediction

The match

São Caetano travel to face Grêmio Sãocarlense in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 28 March (23:00 WAT).

Form guide

Grêmio Sãocarlense's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Joseense 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

São Caetano's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Colorado Caieiras 4–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

São Caetano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Grêmio Sãocarlense and 1.1 for São Caetano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Grêmio Sãocarlense 0–1 São Caetano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Grêmio Sãocarlense34%fair 2.97 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
São Caetano41%fair 2.44 · @2.85
2.14Expected goals
1.00Grêmio Sãocarlense xG
1.14São Caetano xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Grêmio Sãocarlense 1.0 – 1.1 São Caetano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSão Caetano to win ✗41%2.442.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.601.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT São Caetano / FT São Caetano ✗22%4.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.44–

Form

Grêmio Sãocarlense – last 4

WDLW
25 Mar@ Joseense1–0W
21 Marvs Penapolense0–0D
18 Mar@ Taquaritinga0–1L
25 Febvs Tanabi2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

São Caetano – last 4

WWWD
25 Mar@ Colorado Caieiras4–0W
18 Mar@ Tanabi2–1W
4 Marvs Comercial2–1W
25 Febvs ECUS0–0D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grêmio Sãocarlense and São Caetano.

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

– ECUS EC Lemense 144%2.95X23%3.00233%2.35 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.45
– Jabaquara Comercial 129%3.20X24%2.95247%2.25 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.45
– Tanabi Colorado Caieiras 161%1.91X20%3.30219%3.60 1XTanabi or draw 81%@1.20
– Barretos Nacional SP 161%1.70X25%3.30214%4.75 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.55
– Inter de Bebedouro Taquaritinga 159%1.70X23%3.25218%5.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 62%@1.55
FT Penapolense6 AEA0 177%1.05X12%11.00211%23.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Vocem0 Joseense1 136%2.95X26%2.88239%2.45 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

On our numbers Grêmio Sãocarlense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and São Caetano 41%.

How many goals will there be in Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Our predicted score is Grêmio Sãocarlense 0–1 São Caetano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano?

Grêmio Sãocarlense vs São Caetano (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.