Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.12
Barretos vs Nacional SP preview and prediction
The match
Barretos host Nacional SP in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Barretos's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Penapolense 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nacional SP's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with ECUS 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Barretos and 0.5 for Nacional SP. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barretos 61%, draw 25%, Nacional SP 14%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Barretos 1–0 Nacional SP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barretos61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Nacional SP14%fair 7.10 · @4.75
2.02Expected goals
1.48Barretos xG
0.55Nacional SP xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Barretos 1.5 – 0.5 Nacional SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win
61%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Barretos or draw
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barretos / FT Barretos
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
5.12
–
Form
Barretos – last 3
DLW
25 Mar
@ Penapolense
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Inter de Bebedouro
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ Jabaquara
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nacional SP – last 4
DWLL
25 Mar
vs ECUS
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ AEA
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Taquaritinga
0–4
L
25 Feb
vs EC Lemense
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barretos and Nacional SP.
What is the prediction for Barretos vs Nacional SP?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Barretos vs Nacional SP?
On our numbers Barretos have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nacional SP 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barretos vs Nacional SP?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barretos vs Nacional SP?
Our predicted score is Barretos 1–0 Nacional SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Barretos vs Nacional SP?
Barretos vs Nacional SP (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A4 · Brazil
ECUS
EC Lemense
Jabaquara
Comercial
Tanabi
Colorado Caieiras
Inter de Bebedouro
Taquaritinga
Grêmio Sãocarlense4
São Caetano1
Penapolense6
AEA0
Vocem0
Joseense1