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Today's tips
Paulista A4 · Brazil

Jabaquara

DLLDL
Sat 28 Mar 2026

Comercial

WWLW

Jabaquara vs Comercial prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultComercial to win47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.55

Jabaquara vs Comercial preview and prediction

The match

Comercial travel to face Jabaquara in the Paulista A4 on Saturday 28 March (19:00 WAT).

Form guide

Jabaquara's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with EC Lemense 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Comercial's last 4: WWLW Most recently they beat Inter de Bebedouro 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Comercial arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.4.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Jabaquara and 1.2 for Comercial. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Jabaquara 0–1 Comercial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Jabaquara29%fair 3.40 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Comercial47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
2.06Expected goals
0.86Jabaquara xG
1.20Comercial xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Jabaquara 0.9 – 1.2 Comercial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultComercial to win47%2.132.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.931.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals62%1.621.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals85%1.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Comercial / FT Comercial25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115%6.55–

Form

Jabaquara – last 5

DLLDL
25 Mar@ EC Lemense0–0D
18 Mar@ Penapolense2–3L
8 Mar@ ECUS0–1L
4 Mar@ Vocem2–2D
25 Febvs Barretos0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Comercial – last 4

WWLW
26 Marvs Inter de Bebedouro1–0W
19 Marvs Vocem3–1W
4 Mar@ São Caetano1–2L
25 Feb@ Colorado Caieiras2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jabaquara and Comercial.

Jabaquara vs Comercial head-to-head page →

More Paulista A4 predictions

– ECUS EC Lemense 144%2.95X23%3.00233%2.35 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.45
– Tanabi Colorado Caieiras 161%1.91X20%3.30219%3.60 1XTanabi or draw 81%@1.20
– Barretos Nacional SP 161%1.70X25%3.30214%4.75 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.55
– Inter de Bebedouro Taquaritinga 159%1.70X23%3.25218%5.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 62%@1.55
FT Grêmio Sãocarlense4 São Caetano1 134%2.45X25%3.00241%2.85 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.45 ✗
FT Penapolense6 AEA0 177%1.05X12%11.00211%23.00 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.25 ✓
FT Vocem0 Joseense1 136%2.95X26%2.88239%2.45 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jabaquara vs Comercial?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Jabaquara vs Comercial?

On our numbers Jabaquara have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Comercial 47%.

How many goals will there be in Jabaquara vs Comercial?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jabaquara vs Comercial?

Our predicted score is Jabaquara 0–1 Comercial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Jabaquara vs Comercial?

Jabaquara vs Comercial (Paulista A4) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.