Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião São João to win ✓67% · @1.48
Double chanceUnião São João or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25
União São João vs Francana preview and prediction
The match
União São João host Francana in the Paulista A3 on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT).
Form guide
União São João's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Portuguesa Santista 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Francana's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Portuguesa Santista 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
União São João arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for União São João and 0.5 for Francana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: União São João 67%, draw 22%, Francana 10%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: União São João 1–0 Francana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União São João67%fair 1.48 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.45
Francana10%fair 9.76 · @7.40
2.19Expected goals
1.70União São João xG
0.49Francana xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: União São João 1.7 – 0.5 Francana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União São João to win✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Double chance
União São João or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
União São João ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União São João / FT União São João✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.25
–
Form
União São João – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
vs Portuguesa Santista
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Itapirense
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Desportivo Brasil
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Francana – last 4
LLDL
8 Mar
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Paulista
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rio Branco SP
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União São João and Francana.
What is the prediction for União São João vs Francana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win União São João vs Francana?
On our numbers União São João have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Francana 10%.
How many goals will there be in União São João vs Francana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União São João vs Francana?
Our predicted score is União São João 1–0 Francana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is União São João vs Francana?
União São João vs Francana (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.