Rio Claro vs XV de Jau Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultRio Claro to win ✗46% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.47

Rio Claro vs XV de Jau preview and prediction

The match

The Paulista A3 sees Rio Claro take on XV de Jau on Wednesday 11 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Rio Claro's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Bandeirante SP 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

XV de Jau's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Catanduva 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.

Rio Claro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Rio Claro and 1.0 for XV de Jau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Rio Claro 46%, draw 22%, XV de Jau 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: XV de Jau to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rio Claro 1–0 XV de Jau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Rio Claro46%fair 2.17 · @2.05

Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20

XV de Jau32%fair 3.12 · @3.35

2.24Expected goals

1.26Rio Claro xG

0.98XV de Jau xG

56%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%

1–113%

0–011%

0–110%

2–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Rio Claro 1.3 – 1.0 XV de Jau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Rio Claro to win ✗	46%	2.17	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Rio Claro / FT Rio Claro ✗	25%	4.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.47	–

Form

Rio Claro – last 5

LDWDW

8 Mar	vs Bandeirante SP	2–3	L
4 Mar	@ Marília	1–1	D
1 Mar	vs EC São Bernardo	1–0	W
26 Feb	@ Itapirense	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Desportivo Brasil	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

60%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

XV de Jau – last 3

DLL

4 Mar	vs Catanduva	0–0	D
25 Feb	vs Portuguesa Santista	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Paulista	0–2	L

0.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

On our numbers Rio Claro have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and XV de Jau 32%.

How many goals will there be in Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Our predicted score is Rio Claro 1–0 XV de Jau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?

Rio Claro vs XV de Jau (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Rio Claro

XV de Jau

Rio Claro vs XV de Jau prediction & analysis

Under 3.5 goals