Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Uniao Barbarense to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniao Barbarense to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A3 sees Uniao Barbarense take on Paulista on Wednesday 11 March, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Paulista's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Bandeirante SP 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Uniao Barbarense and 0.9 for Paulista. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Uniao Barbarense to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Uniao Barbarense 1–1 Paulista. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uniao Barbarense49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Paulista28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
2.15Expected goals
1.28Uniao Barbarense xG
0.87Paulista xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Uniao Barbarense 1.3 – 0.9 Paulista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uniao Barbarense to win✗
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uniao Barbarense / FT Uniao Barbarense✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Uniao Barbarense – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs USAC
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ EC São Bernardo
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paulista – last 5
DDLLW
5 Mar
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Francana
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Rio Preto
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs EC São Bernardo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uniao Barbarense and Paulista.
What is the prediction for Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista?
On our numbers Uniao Barbarense have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paulista 28%.
How many goals will there be in Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista?
Our predicted score is Uniao Barbarense 1–1 Paulista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista?
Uniao Barbarense vs Paulista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Branco SP3
Itapirense2
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Marília2
USAC0
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
União São João2
Francana1