Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRio Branco SP to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceRio Branco SP or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense preview and prediction
The match
Itapirense travel to face Rio Branco SP in the Paulista A3 on Wednesday 11 March (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Itapirense's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to EC São Bernardo 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Rio Branco SP and 0.7 for Itapirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rio Branco SP 62%, draw 26%, Itapirense 12%.
Safer route: Rio Branco SP or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rio Branco SP to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rio Branco SP 1–0 Itapirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rio Branco SP62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Itapirense12%fair 8.33 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.75Rio Branco SP xG
0.66Itapirense xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Rio Branco SP 1.8 – 0.7 Itapirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rio Branco SP to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Rio Branco SP or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Rio Branco SP ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rio Branco SP / FT Rio Branco SP✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Rio Branco SP – last 2
LW
4 Mar
@ EC São Bernardo
0–4
L
25 Feb
@ Francana
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Itapirense – last 6
LWDDLL
8 Mar
vs EC São Bernardo
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Desportivo Brasil
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs União São João
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Portuguesa Santista
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Branco SP and Itapirense.
What is the prediction for Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Our pick is Rio Branco SP to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
On our numbers Rio Branco SP have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Itapirense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Our predicted score is Rio Branco SP 1–0 Itapirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense?
Rio Branco SP vs Itapirense (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Marília2
USAC0
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
Uniao Barbarense1
Paulista1
União São João2
Francana1