Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Marília vs USAC preview and prediction
The match
Marília host USAC in the Paulista A3 on Wednesday 11 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bento de Abreu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Marília and 0.5 for USAC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 42%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marília 73%, draw 16%, USAC 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marília to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Marília 1–0 USAC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marília73%fair 1.36 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @4.75
USAC10%fair 9.82 · @10.00
2.50Expected goals
1.97Marília xG
0.52USAC xG
42%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–016%
3–011%
1–18%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marília 2.0 – 0.5 USAC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marília to win✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Marília or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Marília ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marília / FT Marília✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Marília – last 2
DD
4 Mar
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Catanduva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
USAC – last 2
LD
4 Mar
@ Uniao Barbarense
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marília and USAC.
Our pick is Marília to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marília vs USAC?
On our numbers Marília have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and USAC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Marília vs USAC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marília vs USAC?
Our predicted score is Marília 1–0 USAC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marília vs USAC?
Marília vs USAC (Paulista A3) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bento de Abreu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil · Estadio Bento de Abreu
Rio Branco SP3
Itapirense2
Rio Claro0
XV de Jau1
Catanduva0
Desportivo Brasil0
Uniao Barbarense1
Paulista1
União São João2
Francana1