Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrown DE Adrogue to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.37
Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Brown DE Adrogue take on San Martín Burzaco on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla. Brown DE Adrogue are 20th with 46 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while San Martín Burzaco sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Brown DE Adrogue's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Villa San Carlos 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Armenio 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Brown DE Adrogue and 0.8 for San Martín Burzaco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brown DE Adrogue 44%, draw 23%, San Martín Burzaco 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.38.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.38 – 50% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brown DE Adrogue44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
San Martín Burzaco32%fair 3.12 · @3.50
1.93Expected goals
1.08Brown DE Adrogue xG
0.85San Martín Burzaco xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Brown DE Adrogue 1.1 – 0.8 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brown DE Adrogue to win✗
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.38 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brown DE Adrogue / FT Brown DE Adrogue✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.37
–
Form
Brown DE Adrogue – last 6
DDLDLW
6 Sep
@ Villa San Carlos
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Liniers
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Villa Dalmine
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Excursionistas
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
DLWLDL
5 Sep
vs Deportivo Armenio
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Flandria
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ Defensores Unidos
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Dock Sud
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brown DE Adrogue and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Brown DE Adrogue have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martín Burzaco 32%.
How many goals will there be in Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Brown DE Adrogue 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco?
Brown DE Adrogue vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
