Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Julio Humberto GrondonaArsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza prediction & analysis
Arsenal Sarandi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.3 – 0.4 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arsenal Sarandi are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for UAI Urquiza.
Arsenal Sarandi have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.3 per game. UAI Urquiza have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. Arsenal Sarandi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (1.3 for Arsenal Sarandi, 0.4 for UAI Urquiza). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (24%), 0–0 (19%), 2–0 (16%).
Our pick is Arsenal Sarandi to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.56.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal Sarandi to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Double chance | Arsenal Sarandi or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✓ | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 24% | 4.10 | – |
Form
Arsenal Sarandi – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Villa Dalmine | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Excursionistas | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Ituzaingó | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
UAI Urquiza – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Argentino de Merlo | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Deportivo Laferrere | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Brown DE Adrogue | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Deportivo Armenio | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Flandria | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Sarandi and UAI Urquiza.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Arsenal Sarandi to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and UAI Urquiza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza?
Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.