Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Pilar to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceReal Pilar or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.56
Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar preview and prediction
The match
Argentino de Merlo host Real Pilar in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. Argentino de Merlo are 13th with 50 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Real Pilar sit 7th on 66 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to UAI Urquiza 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Pilar's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Talleres Remedios 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Pilar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.7 for Argentino de Merlo and 1.4 for Real Pilar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentino de Merlo 21%, draw 21%, Real Pilar 58%.
Safer route: Real Pilar or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Real Pilar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino de Merlo21%fair 4.80 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @2.95
Real Pilar58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
2.05Expected goals
0.65Argentino de Merlo xG
1.39Real Pilar xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–013%
0–213%
1–112%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.7 – 1.4 Real Pilar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Pilar to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Real Pilar or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
18%
5.56
–
Form
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
LDLDDW
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Ituzaingó
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Pilar – last 6
LDWWDD
5 Sep
vs Talleres Remedios
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Brown DE Adrogue
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Armenio
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Flandria
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino de Merlo and Real Pilar.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Pilar 58%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Real Pilar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar?
Argentino de Merlo vs Real Pilar (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
