Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Ciudad de Laferrere StadiumDeportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓
Value bet: Villa San Carlos to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Laferrere 1.2 – 1.2 Villa San Carlos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Deportivo Laferrere and Villa San Carlos on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Deportivo Laferrere have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. Villa San Carlos have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. Villa San Carlos come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Deportivo Laferrere, 1.2 for Villa San Carlos). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.10 is better than our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Villa San Carlos to win at 3.40 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Laferrere to win ✗ | 37% | 2.72 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Laferrere / FT Deportivo Laferrere ✗ | 20% | 4.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.69 | – |
Form
Deportivo Laferrere – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Liniers | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Real Pilar | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ UAI Urquiza | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Aug | vs Villa Dalmine | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Excursionistas | 3–5 | L |
| 9 Aug | vs Arsenal Sarandi | 1–1 | D |
Villa San Carlos – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | @ Deportivo Armenio | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Flandria | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Argentino Quilmes | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | vs Defensores Unidos | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Comunicaciones | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Laferrere and Villa San Carlos.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
On our numbers Deportivo Laferrere have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa San Carlos 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos?
Deportivo Laferrere vs Villa San Carlos (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.