Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Armenia StadiumDeportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Sportivo Italiano to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Deportivo Armenio 1.0 – 1.0 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Deportivo Armenio and Sportivo Italiano on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 27% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Deportivo Armenio have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Sportivo Italiano have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Deportivo Armenio, 1.0 for Sportivo Italiano). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (13%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.98. For a bigger price, Sportivo Italiano to win at 3.00 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Armenio to win ✓ | 37% | 2.72 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 50% | 1.98 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 21% | 4.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 13% | 7.47 | – |
Form
Deportivo Armenio – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ San Martín Burzaco | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Villa San Carlos | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | @ Liniers | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Real Pilar | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | @ UAI Urquiza | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Villa Dalmine | 1–0 | W |
Sportivo Italiano – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Flandria | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Argentino Quilmes | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Defensores Unidos | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Comunicaciones | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Dock Sud | 4–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Deportivo Merlo | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Armenio and Sportivo Italiano.
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Deportivo Armenio have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sportivo Italiano 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano?
Deportivo Armenio vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Armenia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.