Value bet: Midland to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees San Martin Tucuman take on Midland on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Midland sit 5th on 55 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Atlanta 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Midland's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Atletico DE Rafaela 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Midland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Midland 2–0 San Martin Tucuman.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.9 for Midland. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 40%, draw 27%, Midland 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Midland to win at 3.90 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Midland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman40%fair 2.48 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Midland33%fair 3.06 · @3.90
2.00Expected goals
1.07San Martin Tucuman xG
0.93Midland xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.1 – 0.9 Midland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Midland 33%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Midland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Midland?
San Martin Tucuman vs Midland (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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