Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✗36% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Gimnasia Y Tiro take on Atlanta on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte. Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Jujuy 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Atlanta's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat San Martin Tucuman 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlanta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Atlanta 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Gimnasia Y Tiro and 1.0 for Atlanta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Y Tiro 36%, draw 28%, Atlanta 36%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Atlanta to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–1 Atlanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.62
Atlanta36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
2.02Expected goals
1.01Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
1.01Atlanta xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.0 – 1.0 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atlanta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–1 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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