Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 4.00 – our chance 29% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.38
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu preview and prediction
The match
Chacarita Juniors host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors. Chacarita Juniors are 14th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Maipu sit 6th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Almagro 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with San Martin S.J. 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Maipu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Deportivo Maipu 3–2 Chacarita Juniors.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Chacarita Juniors and 0.8 for Deportivo Maipu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Deportivo Maipu to win at 4.00 – 29% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chacarita Juniors46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.75
Deportivo Maipu29%fair 3.43 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.16Chacarita Juniors xG
0.84Deportivo Maipu xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chacarita Juniors 1.2 – 0.8 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Chacarita Juniors have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maipu 29%.
How many goals will there be in Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu?
Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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