Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown prediction & analysis

Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown preview and prediction

The match

The Primera Nacional sees Colon Santa Fe take on Almirante Brown on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Colon Santa Fe are 5th with 60 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Almirante Brown sit 6th on 51 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Colon Santa Fe's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Atletico Mitre 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Almirante Brown's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with San Miguel 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Colon Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Almirante Brown 1–1 Colon Santa Fe.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Colon Santa Fe and 0.4 for Almirante Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Colon Santa Fe 66%, draw 21%, Almirante Brown 13%.
• Safer route: Colon Santa Fe or draw (87%) at 1.15.
• Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.50.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Colon Santa Fe to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Colon Santa Fe 1–0 Almirante Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.