Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 11 Oct 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win ✓64% · @1.91

Double chanceCiudad de Bolívar or draw ✓89% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.42

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo preview and prediction

The match

The Primera Nacional sees Ciudad de Bolívar take on San Telmo on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron. Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while San Telmo sit 12th on 41 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Acassuso 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

San Telmo's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Almirante Brown 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Ciudad de Bolívar and 0.4 for San Telmo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Win chances: Ciudad de Bolívar 64%, draw 25%, San Telmo 11%.
Safer route: Ciudad de Bolívar or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.55.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ciudad de Bolívar to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 San Telmo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ciudad de Bolívar64%fair 1.56 · @1.91

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.90

San Telmo11%fair 9.22 · @4.50

1.86Expected goals

1.45Ciudad de Bolívar xG

0.41San Telmo xG

43%Both score

29%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–023%

2–016%

0–016%

1–19%

3–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 1.5 – 0.4 San Telmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ciudad de Bolívar to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.91 ▲
Double chance	Ciudad de Bolívar or draw ✓	89%	1.12	1.18 ▲
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	55%	1.80	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ciudad de Bolívar / FT Ciudad de Bolívar ✗	38%	2.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	23%	4.42	–

Form

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

WWLDLW

3 Oct	@ Acassuso	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Chaco For Ever	2–1	W
19 Sep	@ Ferro Carril Oeste	0–1	L
12 Sep	vs Central Norte	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Deportivo Madryn	1–3	L
29 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

San Telmo – last 6

WWLWDL

4 Oct	vs Almirante Brown	3–2	W
27 Sep	@ Atletico Mitre	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs CA Estudiantes	0–1	L
12 Sep	@ All Boys	1–0	W
5 Sep	vs Los Andes	0–0	D
30 Aug	@ Godoy Cruz	0–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Our pick is Ciudad de Bolívar to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Telmo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 1–0 San Telmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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