Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Alfredo BerangerTemperley vs Nueva Chicago prediction & analysis
Temperley to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Temperley 1.4 – 0.4 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Temperley are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 11% for Nueva Chicago.
Temperley have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Nueva Chicago have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Temperley come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.8 goals (1.4 for Temperley, 0.4 for Nueva Chicago). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (23%), 2–0 (17%), 0–0 (16%).
Our pick is Temperley to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Temperley to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Temperley or draw ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Temperley / FT Temperley ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
Form
Temperley – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Gimnasia Jujuy | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Almagro | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Patronato | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Colegiales | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
Nueva Chicago – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Almagro | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Patronato | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Colegiales | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Midland | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Temperley and Nueva Chicago.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 36 | +18 | 64 |
| 2 |  Atlanta | 36 | +8 | 62 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 36 | +12 | 61 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | +4 | 58 |
| 5 |  Midland | 36 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maipu | 36 | +9 | 52 |
| 7 |  Colegiales | 36 | +4 | 52 |
| 8 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 36 | +2 | 52 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 36 | +6 | 51 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 36 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 36 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 36 | -8 | 46 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 36 | +3 | 45 |
| 14 |  Chacarita Juniors | 36 | -6 | 42 |
| 15 |  Almagro | 36 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 36 | -6 | 38 |
| 17 |  Nueva Chicago | 36 | -11 | 37 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 36 | -34 | 27 |
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Colon Santa Fe0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Temperley to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Temperley have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nueva Chicago 11%.
How many goals will there be in Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Temperley vs Nueva Chicago?
Temperley vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Beranger.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.