Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Defensores De Belgrano to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDefensores De Belgrano to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceDefensores De Belgrano or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.17
Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Defensores De Belgrano take on Acassuso on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Pasquale. Defensores De Belgrano are 15th with 39 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Acassuso sit 17th on 35 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Defensores De Belgrano's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Chaco For Ever 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Acassuso's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Ciudad de Bolívar 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Defensores De Belgrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Acassuso 1–0 Defensores De Belgrano.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.4 for Acassuso. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores De Belgrano 65%, draw 22%, Acassuso 13%.
Safer route: Defensores De Belgrano or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Defensores De Belgrano to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Acassuso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores De Belgrano65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Acassuso13%fair 7.63 · @5.00
1.73Expected goals
1.35Defensores De Belgrano xG
0.38Acassuso xG
43%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Defensores De Belgrano 1.4 – 0.4 Acassuso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores De Belgrano to win✗
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Defensores De Belgrano or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensores De Belgrano / FT Defensores De Belgrano✗
What is the prediction for Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
Our pick is Defensores De Belgrano to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
On our numbers Defensores De Belgrano have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Acassuso 13%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
Our predicted score is Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 Acassuso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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