Primera Nacional · Argentina · Estadio Ciudad de CaserosCA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 2.50 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: CA Estudiantes 1.1 – 1.0 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates CA Estudiantes and Deportivo Moron on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 29% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
CA Estudiantes have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Deportivo Moron have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for CA Estudiantes, 1.0 for Deportivo Moron). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, CA Estudiantes have won 0, Deportivo Moron have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.50 is better than our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | CA Estudiantes to win ✓ | 38% | 2.66 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.98 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT CA Estudiantes / FT CA Estudiantes ✗ | 21% | 4.76 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.80 | – |
Form
CA Estudiantes – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Colon Santa Fe | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ San Telmo | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Acassuso | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Chaco For Ever | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Ferro Carril Oeste | 2–2 | D |
Deportivo Moron – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs All Boys | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Los Andes | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Godoy Cruz | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Racing Cordoba | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Colon Santa Fe | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs San Miguel | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 2026 | Deportivo Moron v CA Estudiantes | 2–0 |
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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San Martin S.J.1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.
Who will win CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers CA Estudiantes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Moron 34%.
How many goals will there be in CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron?
CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.