Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Tucuman travel to face Atlanta in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 11 October (19:30 WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Atletico DE Rafaela 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atlanta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished San Martin Tucuman 0–1 Atlanta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Atlanta and 0.9 for San Martin Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 45%, draw 25%, San Martin Tucuman 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.40, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–1 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
San Martin Tucuman30%fair 3.35 · @3.70
2.11Expected goals
1.21Atlanta xG
0.90San Martin Tucuman xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.2 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.40.
Who will win Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and San Martin Tucuman 30%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–1 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman?
Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.