San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
San Martin Tucuman or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.10
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Tucuman host Gimnasia Y Tiro in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 8th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Jujuy 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 San Martin Tucuman.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.5 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 63%, draw 21%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
Safer route: San Martin Tucuman or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: San Martin Tucuman to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Martin Tucuman or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @2.90
Gimnasia Y Tiro16%fair 6.23 · @4.33
2.02Expected goals
1.48San Martin Tucuman xG
0.54Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.5 – 0.5 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is San Martin Tucuman or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 16%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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