Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees San Martin S.J. take on Almagro on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). San Martin S.J. are 9th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Almagro sit 15th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Patronato 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almagro's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Nueva Chicago 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
San Martin S.J. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Almagro 1–2 San Martin S.J..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for San Martin S.J. and 0.6 for Almagro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin S.J. 60%, draw 20%, Almagro 20%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Martin S.J. to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Almagro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin S.J.60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.50
Almagro20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
2.03Expected goals
1.41San Martin S.J. xG
0.62Almagro xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–013%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.4 – 0.6 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
Our pick is San Martin S.J. to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Almagro 20%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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