Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗38% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
Tristan Suarez travel to Estadio El Gigante del Norte in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 12 September (02:00 WAT) to face Gimnasia Y Tiro. Gimnasia Y Tiro are 8th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Club Atlético Güemes 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat San Martin Tucuman 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Gimnasia Y Tiro and 1.0 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Value angle: Tristan Suarez to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Y Tiro33%fair 3.05 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.50
Tristan Suarez38%fair 2.61 · @3.20
1.87Expected goals
0.88Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
0.99Tristan Suarez xG
50%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Y Tiro 0.9 – 1.0 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✗
38%
2.61
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Gimnasia Y Tiro – last 6
WWLDWW
6 Sep
@ Club Atlético Güemes
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ San Martin S.J.
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Central Norte
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Nueva Chicago
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Almagro
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 6
WLWWWW
5 Sep
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Almirante Brown
3–1
W
10 Aug
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Club Atlético Güemes
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Y Tiro and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Gimnasia Y Tiro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Tristan Suarez 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys0
San Telmo1