Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.59
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes preview and prediction
The match
Club Atlético Güemes travel to face Atlanta in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 12 September (19:00 WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atlanta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Atlanta and 0.8 for Club Atlético Güemes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 58%, draw 21%, Club Atlético Güemes 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlanta to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Club Atlético Güemes21%fair 4.74 · @5.00
2.32Expected goals
1.54Atlanta xG
0.78Club Atlético Güemes xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.5 – 0.8 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.59
–
Form
Atlanta – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Patronato
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Temperley
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
LDDDDL
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Agropecuario
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Atlanta to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Atlético Güemes 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys0
San Telmo1