Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceColegiales or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.92
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Colegiales take on Nueva Chicago on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Nueva Chicago sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Temperley 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nueva Chicago's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Quilmes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Colegiales and 0.6 for Nueva Chicago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colegiales 59%, draw 21%, Nueva Chicago 20%.
Safer route: Colegiales or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Colegiales to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Colegiales 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.00
Nueva Chicago20%fair 5.10 · @4.80
1.86Expected goals
1.30Colegiales xG
0.56Nueva Chicago xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.3 – 0.6 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Colegiales or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✓
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.92
–
Form
Colegiales – last 6
LWWDLD
6 Sep
@ Temperley
1–3
L
3 Sep
vs Midland
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Maipu
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Patronato
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nueva Chicago – last 6
WLLLLW
7 Sep
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ All Boys
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Nueva Chicago.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Colegiales to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nueva Chicago 20%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
All Boys0
San Telmo1