Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✗89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies host Miami FC in the USL Championship on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Al Lang Stadium. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Miami FC sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with San Antonio 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Miami FC's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Miami FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Miami FC 2–3 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Across their last 2 meetings Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 2, Miami FC 0, with 0 draws and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.7 for Miami FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 72%, draw 17%, Miami FC 11%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @4.80
Miami FC11%fair 8.99 · @7.00
2.79Expected goals
2.12Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.67Miami FC xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.1 – 0.7 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Miami FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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