Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
USL Championship · USA · ONEOK Field
1–1
FT

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.15

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction

The match

Sacramento Republic travel to ONEOK Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 4 October (01:00 WAT) to face FC Tulsa. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).

Form guide

FC Tulsa's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat New Mexico United 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sacramento Republic's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished FC Tulsa 1–0 Sacramento Republic. Across their last 2 meetings FC Tulsa have won 1, Sacramento Republic 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for FC Tulsa and 1.1 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Tulsa37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Sacramento Republic38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
2.21Expected goals
1.09FC Tulsa xG
1.12Sacramento Republic xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.1 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✗38%2.612.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.95
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗20%4.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.15–

Form

FC Tulsa – last 6

WDDLDW
1 Octvs New Mexico United1–0W
26 Sep@ El Paso Locomotive1–1D
20 Sep@ Brooklyn2–2D
13 Sep@ Phoenix Rising1–2L
6 Sep@ San Antonio0–0D
30 Augvs Rhode Island1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WWDWDD
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
27 Sep@ New Mexico United3–2W
21 Sepvs San Antonio0–0D
13 Sepvs Detroit City1–0W
6 Sep@ Orange County SC1–1D
30 Aug@ Monterey Bay1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026FC Tulsa v Sacramento Republic1–0
8 Mar 2026Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa2–0
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sacramento Republic 38%.

How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.