FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
Sacramento Republic travel to ONEOK Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 4 October (01:00 WAT) to face FC Tulsa. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat New Mexico United 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 August 2026, finished FC Tulsa 1–0 Sacramento Republic. Across their last 2 meetings FC Tulsa have won 1, Sacramento Republic 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for FC Tulsa and 1.1 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 37%, draw 25%, Sacramento Republic 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa37%fair 2.70 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Sacramento Republic38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
2.21Expected goals
1.09FC Tulsa xG
1.12Sacramento Republic xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.1 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sacramento Republic 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.