New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.27
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising preview and prediction
The match
Phoenix Rising travel to Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 4 October (23:00 WAT) to face New Mexico United. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Phoenix Rising sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New Mexico United's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Phoenix Rising's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Oakland Roots 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished New Mexico United 4–0 Phoenix Rising. Across their last 2 meetings New Mexico United have won 1, Phoenix Rising 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for New Mexico United and 1.4 for Phoenix Rising. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Mexico United 40%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Mexico United40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Phoenix Rising39%fair 2.58 · @2.50
2.75Expected goals
1.39New Mexico United xG
1.36Phoenix Rising xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.4 – 1.4 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 39%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising?
New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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