Value bet: San Antonio to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees San Antonio take on Tampa Bay Rowdies on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Field. San Antonio are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Antonio's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Sacramento Republic 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Birmingham Legion 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for San Antonio and 1.4 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Antonio 33%, draw 22%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: San Antonio to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: San Antonio 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Antonio33%fair 3.05 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Tampa Bay Rowdies45%fair 2.24 · @2.10
2.50Expected goals
1.12San Antonio xG
1.38Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.1 – 1.4 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
45%
2.24
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
San Antonio – last 6
DLDDWL
21 Sep
@ Sacramento Republic
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Colorado Springs
1–2
L
9 Sep
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ New Mexico United
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WLWDLW
20 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Hartford Athletic
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Brooklyn
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Detroit City
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Rhode Island
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 45%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
San Antonio vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs0
New Mexico United2
Sacramento Republic3
Monterey Bay2
Lexington3
Oakland Roots3
Phoenix Rising0
Orange County SC1