Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Championship Soccer Stadium. Orange County SC are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Orange County SC's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Lexington 0–6 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Detroit City 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Orange County SC and 1.3 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orange County SC 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orange County SC35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Pittsburgh Riverhounds39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.21Orange County SC xG
1.30Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.2 – 1.3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
39%
2.55
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
Orange County SC – last 6
LLDDLL
20 Sep
@ Lexington
0–6
L
13 Sep
vs Las Vegas Lights
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Sacramento Republic
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs FC Tulsa
1–5
L
16 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
LWDDLW
20 Sep
@ Detroit City
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Loudoun United
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Miami FC
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–0
D
27 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orange County SC and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 39%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Orange County SC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs0
San Antonio0
New Mexico United2
Sacramento Republic3
Monterey Bay2
Lexington3
Oakland Roots3
Phoenix Rising0