Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.32
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC preview and prediction
The match
Miami FC travel to Michael A. Carroll Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 27 September (00:00 WAT) to face Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Miami FC sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Oakland Roots 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Miami FC's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Rhode Island 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 July 2026, finished Miami FC 2–0 Indy Eleven.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Indy Eleven and 0.9 for Miami FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Indy Eleven 66%, draw 15%, Miami FC 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Indy Eleven to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 2–0 Miami FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw15%fair 6.71 · @3.90
Miami FC19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
2.98Expected goals
2.05Indy Eleven xG
0.92Miami FC xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 2.1 – 0.9 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Indy Eleven to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Miami FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 2–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Miami FC?
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.