Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Indy Eleven or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Indy Eleven take on Oakland Roots on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Brooklyn 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Oakland Roots's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Lexington 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Indy Eleven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Indy Eleven and 0.9 for Oakland Roots. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Indy Eleven to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Indy Eleven or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–0 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven58%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Oakland Roots20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
2.64Expected goals
1.73Indy Eleven xG
0.91Oakland Roots xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.7 – 0.9 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 6
WDDLWW
16 Sep
vs Brooklyn
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Birmingham Legion
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Oakland Roots – last 6
LDWDLD
13 Sep
vs Lexington
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Las Vegas Lights
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Indy Eleven or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oakland Roots 20%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–0 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots?
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tulsa2
Monterey Bay0
Lexington6
Orange County SC0
Colorado Springs0
New Mexico United0