Lexington vs Orange County SC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Lexington to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLexington to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Lexington vs Orange County SC preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC travel to Toyota Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 20 September (00:00 WAT) to face Lexington. Lexington are 4th with 48 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lexington's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 4–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Orange County SC's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Las Vegas Lights 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lexington arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Orange County SC 0–0 Lexington.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Lexington and 0.8 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lexington 63%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 14%.
Safer route: Lexington or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lexington to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Lexington 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lexington63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Orange County SC14%fair 7.19 · @4.80
2.81Expected goals
1.97Lexington xG
0.84Orange County SC xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lexington 2.0 – 0.8 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Lexington to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Lexington vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Lexington have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Orange County SC?
Lexington vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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