Louisville City vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
Louisville City host Loudoun United in the USL Championship on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Lynn Family Stadium. Louisville City are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Louisville City's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Loudoun United's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Louisville City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Loudoun United 3–3 Louisville City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Louisville City and 0.8 for Loudoun United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Louisville City 70%, draw 17%, Loudoun United 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Louisville City to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Louisville City 2–0 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Louisville City70%fair 1.44 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @4.60
Loudoun United13%fair 7.63 · @6.00
3.06Expected goals
2.23Louisville City xG
0.83Loudoun United xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Louisville City 2.2 – 0.8 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Loudoun United 13%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Louisville City vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.