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USL Championship · USA · Weidner Field

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United prediction & analysis

84%
Footrivo pick

Colorado Springs or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Colorado Springs to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultColorado Springs to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chanceColorado Springs or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.41

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees Colorado Springs take on New Mexico United on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Weidner Field. Colorado Springs are 5th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while New Mexico United sit 1st on 52 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Colorado Springs's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat San Antonio 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

New Mexico United's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Birmingham Legion 4–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished New Mexico United 1–0 Colorado Springs. Across their last 2 meetings Colorado Springs have won 1, New Mexico United 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Colorado Springs and 0.9 for New Mexico United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Colorado Springs or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Colorado Springs 2–0 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Colorado Springs63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
New Mexico United16%fair 6.21 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
2.07Colorado Springs xG
0.93New Mexico United xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Colorado Springs 2.1 – 0.9 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColorado Springs to win ✗63%1.581.85 ▲
Double chanceColorado Springs or draw ✓84%1.191.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultColorado Springs ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colorado Springs / FT Colorado Springs ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.41–

Form

Colorado Springs – last 6

WLWWLL
12 Sepvs San Antonio2–1W
9 Sep@ Hartford Athletic1–2L
5 Sep@ Loudoun United5–4W
30 Aug@ Lexington1–0W
23 Augvs El Paso Locomotive0–1L
20 Aug@ Phoenix Rising1–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

New Mexico United – last 6

DDWLWD
17 Sep@ Birmingham Legion4–4D
12 Sepvs Indy Eleven2–2D
6 Sep@ Las Vegas Lights2–1W
30 Augvs San Antonio1–2L
27 Augvs Lexington2–1W
22 Aug@ Loudoun United0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026New Mexico United v Colorado Springs1–0
17 May 2026Colorado Springs v New Mexico United4–0
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our pick is Colorado Springs or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

On our numbers Colorado Springs have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and New Mexico United 16%.

How many goals will there be in Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Our predicted score is Colorado Springs 2–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?

Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Weidner Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.