Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion prediction & analysis

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction

The match

Birmingham Legion travel to Al Lang Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 20 September (00:30 WAT) to face Tampa Bay Rowdies. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Hartford Athletic 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Birmingham Legion's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with New Mexico United 4–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Birmingham Legion 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.9 for Birmingham Legion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 63%, draw 20%, Birmingham Legion 17%.
• Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–1 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.