Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Phoenix Rising take on El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Phoenix Rising's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat FC Tulsa 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Louisville City 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Phoenix Rising and 1.4 for El Paso Locomotive. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: El Paso Locomotive to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phoenix Rising40%fair 2.48 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
El Paso Locomotive37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
2.85Expected goals
1.46Phoenix Rising xG
1.39El Paso Locomotive xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.5 – 1.4 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and El Paso Locomotive 37%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive?
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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