Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Las Vegas Lights host Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Cashman Field. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Orange County SC 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hartford Athletic's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Hartford Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.2 for Hartford Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 3.00 – 41% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Vegas Lights36%fair 2.76 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Hartford Athletic41%fair 2.46 · @3.00
2.38Expected goals
1.14Las Vegas Lights xG
1.24Hartford Athletic xG
60%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.1 – 1.2 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
41%
2.46
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WLLLWW
13 Sep
@ Orange County SC
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs New Mexico United
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Charleston Battery
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Lexington
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Brooklyn
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Miami FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
WWWDWW
16 Sep
vs Sporting JAX
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
3–1
W
9 Sep
vs Colorado Springs
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Detroit City
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Charleston Battery
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Birmingham Legion
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Vegas Lights and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartford Athletic 41%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic?
Las Vegas Lights vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tulsa2
Monterey Bay0
Lexington6
Orange County SC0
Colorado Springs0
New Mexico United0