Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Rhode Island to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRhode Island to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceRhode Island or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Sporting JAX take on Rhode Island on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Hodges Stadium. Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Rhode Island sit 7th on 42 points (in the top half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting JAX's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Lexington 3–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Rhode Island's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Louisville City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Sporting JAX and 2.3 for Rhode Island. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting JAX 14%, draw 22%, Rhode Island 64%.
Safer route: Rhode Island or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rhode Island to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Sporting JAX 1–2 Rhode Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting JAX14%fair 7.14 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.90
Rhode Island64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
3.30Expected goals
1.02Sporting JAX xG
2.28Rhode Island xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.0 – 2.3 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Double chance
Rhode Island or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Rhode Island ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Sporting JAX – last 6
WLWLLL
6 Sep
vs Lexington
3–2
W
30 Aug
@ Brooklyn
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ Birmingham Legion
3–2
W
16 Aug
vs Indy Eleven
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
0–5
L
26 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rhode Island – last 6
DLWLWL
6 Sep
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Birmingham Legion
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Rhode Island.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Rhode Island to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rhode Island 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?
Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
El Paso Locomotive2
Oakland Roots1
Lexington4
Orange County SC0
Las Vegas Lights2
Phoenix Rising2
FC Tulsa1