Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis

Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction

The match

Las Vegas Lights travel to Championship Soccer Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 13 September (03:00 WAT) to face Orange County SC. Orange County SC are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Orange County SC's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Sacramento Republic 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to New Mexico United 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Las Vegas Lights 2–3 Orange County SC. Across their last 2 meetings Orange County SC have won 1, Las Vegas Lights 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Orange County SC and 1.4 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Orange County SC 39%, draw 23%, Las Vegas Lights 39%.
• Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Orange County SC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.