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USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Tampa Bay Rowdies to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction

The match

Tampa Bay Rowdies travel to Trinity Health Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 13 September (00:00 WAT) to face Hartford Athletic. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Hartford Athletic's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Colorado Springs 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Brooklyn 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Hartford Athletic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–1 Hartford Athletic.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Hartford Athletic and 1.6 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hartford Athletic20%fair 5.07 · @3.25
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @3.30
Tampa Bay Rowdies63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
2.29Expected goals
0.69Hartford Athletic xG
1.60Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 0.7 – 1.6 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗63%1.581.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.17–

Form

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WDWWWW
9 Sepvs Colorado Springs2–1W
6 Sep@ Detroit City1–1D
3 Sep@ Charleston Battery2–1W
30 Augvs Birmingham Legion3–2W
16 Augvs Miami FC2–1W
13 Aug@ Charlotte Independence4–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

WDLWDW
6 Sepvs Brooklyn2–0W
29 Aug@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
23 Aug@ Detroit City0–1L
16 Augvs Rhode Island2–0W
13 Augvs Louisville City0–0D
9 Aug@ Orange County SC3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic0–1
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 63%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.