Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa preview and prediction
The match
FC Tulsa travel to Wild Horse Pass Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 13 September (03:00 WAT) to face Phoenix Rising. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while FC Tulsa sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Phoenix Rising's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Monterey Bay 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Tulsa's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with San Antonio 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished FC Tulsa 1–1 Phoenix Rising.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Phoenix Rising and 0.8 for FC Tulsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Phoenix Rising 60%, draw 16%, FC Tulsa 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phoenix Rising to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–0 FC Tulsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phoenix Rising60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @3.40
FC Tulsa24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
2.40Expected goals
1.58Phoenix Rising xG
0.82FC Tulsa xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.6 – 0.8 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Phoenix Rising to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Tulsa 24%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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