Rhode Island vs Louisville City prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRhode Island to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Rhode Island vs Louisville City preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Rhode Island take on Louisville City on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Centreville Bank Stadium. Rhode Island are 7th with 42 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Louisville City sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Rhode Island's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to FC Tulsa 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Louisville City's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Detroit City 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Rhode Island arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Rhode Island and 1.4 for Louisville City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhode Island 43%, draw 22%, Louisville City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rhode Island 1–1 Louisville City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhode Island43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Louisville City35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.60Rhode Island xG
1.40Louisville City xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.6 – 1.4 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rhode Island to win✗
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Rhode Island – last 6
LWLWLW
30 Aug
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Birmingham Legion
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
DLWDDL
30 Aug
vs Detroit City
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Indy Eleven
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Orange County SC
3–2
W
13 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs San Antonio
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–5
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rhode Island and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Louisville City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
Rhode Island vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
San Antonio0
FC Tulsa0
Orange County SC1
Sacramento Republic1
Monterey Bay1
Phoenix Rising1
Las Vegas Lights1
New Mexico United2