Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Indy Eleven or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion travel to Michael A. Carroll Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 6 September (00:00 WAT) to face Indy Eleven. Indy Eleven are 9th with 34 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Indy Eleven's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Phoenix Rising 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Birmingham Legion's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Hartford Athletic 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Indy Eleven and 0.8 for Birmingham Legion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Indy Eleven or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Indy Eleven 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Indy Eleven59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Birmingham Legion20%fair 5.06 · @4.00
2.55Expected goals
1.70Indy Eleven xG
0.85Birmingham Legion xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.7 – 0.8 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.52
–
Form
Indy Eleven – last 6
LWWDLL
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 6
LLLWLW
30 Aug
@ Hartford Athletic
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
30 Jul
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Indy Eleven or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Birmingham Legion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
San Antonio0
FC Tulsa0
Orange County SC1
Sacramento Republic1
Monterey Bay1
Phoenix Rising1
Las Vegas Lights1
New Mexico United2